Rabu, 27 Maret 2013

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Forecasting for the Pharmaceutical Industry: Models for New Product and In-Market Forecasting and How to Use Them, by Arthur G. Cook

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Forecasting for the Pharmaceutical Industry: Models for New Product and In-Market Forecasting and How to Use Them, by Arthur G. Cook

Forecasting for the Pharmaceutical Industry is a definitive guide for forecasters as well as the multitude of decision makers and executives who rely on forecasts in their decision making. In virtually every decision, a pharmaceutical executive considers some type of forecast. This process of predicting the future is crucial to many aspects of the company - from next month's production schedule, to market estimates for drugs in the next decade. The pharmaceutical forecaster needs to strike a delicate balance between over-engineering the forecast - including rafts of data and complex ’black box’ equations that few stakeholders understand and even fewer buy into - and an overly simplistic approach that relies too heavily on anecdotal information and opinion. Arthur G. Cook's highly pragmatic guide explains the basis of a successful balanced forecast for products in development as well as currently marketed products. The author explores the pharmaceutical forecasting process; the varied tools and methods for new product and in-market forecasting; how they can be used to communicate market dynamics to the various stakeholders; and the strengths and weaknesses of different forecast approaches. The text is liberally illustrated with tables, diagrams and examples. The final extended case study provides the reader with an opportunity to test out their knowledge. The second edition has been updated throughout and includes a brand new chapter focusing on specialized topics such as forecasting for orphan drugs and biosimilars.

  • Sales Rank: #991293 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-05-08
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 10.00" h x 7.00" w x 1.00" l, 1.45 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 234 pages

About the Author
Arthur G. Cook is a Principal with ZS, a management consulting firm specializing in the pharmaceutical industry. Previously he was Director of Global Forecasting for Syntex Pharmaceuticals. Art has been involved in pharmaceutical forecasting for over 30 years, has worked with many major pharmaceutical companies on their forecasting processes, and has created forecasts for over 150 therapy areas. He has written and presented widely on the subject of forecasting, portfolio management, market research, and pricing for the pharmaceutical industry.

Most helpful customer reviews

2 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Great reference
By Carlos Campos
If you don't know anything about forecasting this book is a great starting point!

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Nicely covers the broad areas of forecasting
By Dad with kids
Nicely covers the broad areas of forecasting, and thats just what it does. It does not get in to the details. So if you are someone who wants to brush your knowledge then this is for you, but if you are looking to learn new methods then maybe you may want to look at some other options.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent introduction and review of pharma forecasting
By J. Bossart
This is a slim book with lots of good information for anybody wanting to get started forecasting their pharmaceutical and biotechnology products, as well as emerging companies with little portfolio management infrastructure looking to strengthen their forecasting process. There is much to be learned and few wasted words. Unlike many books that are used in a classroom setting and are intended primarily as a reference text this book presents forecasting in a practical and concise manner that makes you want to get started. This is a book that can be read cover to cover in three or four hours, so you get the whole picture in one or two bites.

Highly recommended as an introductory or refresher text for anybody involved in pharmaceutical or biotechnology product forecasting, and those involved in product development who wants to get a better handle on what their product is capable of achieving in the commercial setting.

The book is not inexpensive, but it offers a good payback in terms of price and time invested. If you order from Amazon you have the comfort of knowing that if the book doesn't meet your expectations you can easily return it for a refund less a small shipping charge. Unlike many other generic forecasting books this one addresses the unique characteristics of the pharmaceutical market and stays away from a heavy statistics treatment. Biopharma new product forecasting benefits more from a strong analytical approach than any mathematical treatment.

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[E304.Ebook] Download PDF The Incorrigible Children of Ashton Place: Book IV: The Interrupted Tale, by Maryrose Wood

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The Incorrigible Children of Ashton Place: Book IV: The Interrupted Tale, by Maryrose Wood

For fans of Lemony Snicket’s Series of Unfortunate Events and Trenton Lee Stewart’s Mysterious Benedict Society comes the fourth book in the Incorrigible Children of Ashton Place, the acclaimed and hilarious Victorian mystery series by Maryrose Wood.

In The Interrupted Tale, Miss Penelope Lumley receives an invitation to speak at the annual Celebrate Alumnae Knowledge Exposition (or CAKE) at the Swanburne Academy for Poor Bright Females. Optoomuchstic as ever, Penelope hopes to give her CAKE talk, see some old friends, and show off the Incorrigible children to Miss Mortimer, but instead she finds her beloved school in an uproar.

And when Penelope is asked by the Swanburne Academy board of trustees to demonstrate the academic progress of her three wolfish students so the board can judge the true worth of a Swanburne education, the future of her alma mater—and of her job as governess to the Incorrigibles—hangs in the balance.

  • Sales Rank: #564424 in Books
  • Published on: 2013-12-17
  • Released on: 2013-12-17
  • Format: Deckle Edge
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.75" h x 1.25" w x 5.50" l, .95 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 400 pages

From School Library Journal
Gr 4–6—In Wood's continuing comic-gothic series, nanny Penelope Lumley is called back to the Swanburne Academy for Poor Bright Females to deliver a speech at the Celebrate Alumnae Knowledge Exposition, and she takes her three wolfish charges along. They find things much changed from Penelope's pleasant descriptions of the institution that was so instrumental in forming her character and philosophy. The Board of Directors has experienced something along the lines of a hostile takeover. Any enjoyment of life on the part of the poor, bright females is being squelched. It doesn't take long for Penelope to suspect that Judge Quinzy, who now heads the Board, is actually the supposedly deceased father of Lord Ashton and that he is after a book that may hold clues about the mysterious curse of the Ashtons. Readers learn that the three incorrigible children are not the only wolfish humans in the series and also a fair amount about poetic feet-especially iambic pentameter. It is all great fun and delightfully complicated-an essential purchase for libraries owning the previous three titles.—Miriam Lang Budin, Chappaqua Library, NY

From Booklist
*Starred Review* Happily, the mysteries deepen at Ashton Place in this fourth volume in the Incorrigible Children series. Let us recap: the incorrigibles are three children raised by wolves but under the care of Lord Ashton, with Miss Penelope Lumley serving as their governess. Odd things happen at Ashton place, including Lord Fredrick’s propensity to howl at the moon. But here the action shifts to Penny’s alma mater, Swanburne Academy for Poor Bright Females, which is in distress. A new board of directors wishes to change everything, including calling it the School for Miserable Girls. Can Penny help halt this disastrous turn of events? In this book, we come to that part in a series where one cannot really join in the fun without having read the previous books. And there is much fun to be had as the incorrigibles—Alexander, Beowulf, and Cassiopeia—entangle themselves in the Swanburne world. Family mysteries become more mysterious, and chickens learn to dance. Once again delightful wordplay and a plot that snakes itself around a suspicious family tree add to the deliciousness. It looks as if one more book should answer questions, but there are quite a lot of them. Readers will wait eagerly to learn where the children came from, to whom they are related, and why Penny must continue to color her hair that deadly brown. Hmmm. To be illustrated. HIGH-DEMAND BACKSTORY: This series has amassed a large coterie of fans who will be eagerly looking to see how everything comes together. Grades 4-6. --Ilene Cooper

Review
“Happily, the mysteries deepen at Ashton Place in this fourth volume in the Incorrigible Children series. Once again delightful wordplay and a plot that snakes itself around a suspicious family tree add to the deliciousness.” (Booklist (starred review), about The Interrupted Tale (Book 4))

Most helpful customer reviews

15 of 16 people found the following review helpful.
And the story continues……..
By momofthree
My children and I have really enjoyed these books. The characters are intriguing and the story is good. However, it has been too drawn out. When I finished this one, I just wanted to say, "wrap it up already"! There are too many authors today who make their series way longer than necessary--and unfortunately this one has done so as well. I'm not saying don't read it, but just be prepared to be frustrated at the end!

7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Still enjoyable...but COME ON
By melissa
I still love this series. And I do realize it's written for middle-grade readers. BUT . . . I have officially reached the point where I am glad the next installment isn't available yet, because the storyline is actually getting a bit redundant.

The clues, or perhaps red herrings, that have been exposed seem to be pointing to several obvious conclusions. Or at least semi-obvious conclusions. But these same clues have been blatantly exposed throughout the series, with little forward progress. Penelope's hair color has been hidden to keep her safe. Her hair color matches that of the Incorrigibles. Someone secretly took care of the Incorrigibles when they were living with the wolves. Old Timothy seems to be everywhere and know everything. Judge Quinzy, or whoever he is (no spoilers here) is up to something.

I'm beginning to feel that the secret or secrets, whatever they are, are not going to be too very astounding because it just TOOK TOO LONG TO GET THERE.

Anyway. This one was still funny, taking the readers away from Ashton Place again, this time to the Swanburne school, which seems to be in a bit of financial (and other) trouble. Penelope delivers a filibuster, chickens perform a dance routine, and Frederick Ashton learns that howling at the moon might not be so bad. Still an enjoyable read, but I, for one, am happy for a break.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Good Series
By Laney B
I haven't begun reading this book yet, but as it is the 4th in a series, I know I can expect continued good prose and an unusual plot line. At first I didn't realize that the book series is a satire of 19th Century social and moral customs in the United Kingdom, but once I did, I enjoyed the book so much that I have continued with the series. The best name in the book is the "Swanburne School for Poor, Bright Females" --a phrase that derides the orphanage system of the times while snidely bringing out the point that some of the brightest and best in the world come from humble origins, not from the socially elite. Adult attitudes towards children in general are cleverly skewered, as well as class distinctions and the status of women. Then, there is a mystery to solve, which keeps us all guessing. This series is written for middle school children, but it holds the attention of adults very well.

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Selasa, 26 Maret 2013

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Semiconductor Physics and Devices, by Dhrubes Biswas Donald Neamen

Semiconductor Physics and Devices

  • Sales Rank: #1139092 in Books
  • Published on: 2012
  • Original language: English
  • Dimensions: 22.80" h x 2.20" w x 17.09" l, 1.30 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback

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The Journey of One Buddhist Nun: Even Against the Wind by Brown, Sid [State U...

  • Sales Rank: #2754990 in Books
  • Binding: Paperback

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Senin, 18 Maret 2013

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[(SPARC Architecture, Assembly Language Programming and C )] [Author: Richard P. Paul] [Jul-1999]From Pearson Education (US)

  • Published on: 1999-07-29
  • Binding: Paperback

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[V310.Ebook] PDF Ebook The Criminal Law Handbook: Know Your Rights, Survive the System, by Paul Bergman, Sara J. Berman

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The Criminal Law Handbook: Know Your Rights, Survive the System, by Paul Bergman, Sara J. Berman

Criminal law in plain English.

The criminal justice system becomes increasingly complex each year with new laws affecting legal processes.

The Criminal Law Handbook explains every part of a criminal case including:
- arrests
- booking
- preliminary hearings
- charges
- bail
- arraignment
- search and seizure
- plea bargains
- sentencing
- juveniles

The revised edition covers the latest changes in criminal law, including U.S Supreme Court cases. Written by the authors of Represent Yourself in Court, Paul Bergman, J.D. and Sara Berman, J.D.

  • Sales Rank: #451315 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: NOLO
  • Published on: 2013-08-30
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.11" h x 1.41" w x 6.90" l, 2.25 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 680 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

Review
""An excellent and balanced guide to the state court criminal justice process...""  Library Journal

""This easy-to-understand book contains everything you need to know about criminal law."" Roger Cossack, Legal Analyst

""A well written, helpful guide for laypersons interested in their legal rights--straightforward, non-intimidating and informative."" Laurie Levenson, Associate Dean, Loyola School of Law

About the Author
Paul Bergman is a Professor of Law at the UCLA School of Law and a recipient of a University Distinguished Teaching Award. His recent books include Reel Justice: The Courtroom Goes to the Movies (Andrews & McMeel); Trial Advocacy: Inferences, Arguments, Techniques (with Moore and Binder, West Publishing Co.); and Represent Yourself In Court and The Criminal Law Handbook (both with Sara Berman, Nolo). He has also published numerous articles in law journals and regularly gives presentations on how law and lawyers are portrayed in film. His blog on the criminal justice system can be found at The Rap Sheet: Nolo's Criminal Law Blog.
 
Sara J. Berman is a professor at Concord Law School and co-founder of PASS Bar Review. She is the co-author of Represent Yourself in Court and The Criminal Law Handbook and the author of numerous articles and law course materials.

Most helpful customer reviews

11 of 12 people found the following review helpful.
I'm a BIG fan of NOLO law books.
By Monte Mendoza
I read the 10th edition of this book, which was published in 2008. It is a great book to help with a study of criminal law. It's also a comfort if you are currently charged with a crime and awaiting a trial, or a hearing before the judge. It informs you of the steps that you go through as you wind your way through the legal system. If you are going to trial, I strongly recommend that you have a trial by jury, if that is an option. Six (or more) jurors have to unanimously find you guilty in order to be convicted. If you choose to have your case be heard only by the judge, then that one person will decide your fate. If your attorney tries to convince you that a bench trial, with the judge deciding your case, is the best option for whatever reason, I would "just say NO" to the trial by judge option. I have nothing against judges and their ability to give you a fair trial. However, if only one person in a jury trial finds you not guilty, you will be acquitted due to the hung jury. Acquitted may not be the correct term. You may just be a person that still has a charge against you. If you do have a hung jury, I believe the prosecution can retry you in front of a new jury. Depending on the charge(s) against you, and the evidence that they have, they will decide if it is worth the time and effort to go through another trial. If they decide to not retry your case, I would think that the charge(s) against you would be dropped. I'm not an attorney, and I don't play one on TV. Some of what I have written may not be factual. However, there is one part of my book review that I am VERY sure of. If you go to trial, choose to have a jury trial IF it is an option for you. I mentioned that I read the 2008 edition of this NOLO law book. I just spent about thirty minutes comparing the text in my book to the text in the book that Amazon allows you to sample. I saw almost no changes between the two editions. I noticed that some statistics were more current in this 2013 edition. An older edition would suffice if you are trying to save money.

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Great resource books.
By Tom
This book with Represent Yourself in Court book gives you thoughts and ideas on how to prepare a case.
I do advocacy work and this information helps me present my case in different environments.
Tom G

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent Criminal Handbook
By Diamonds
This is a absolute must have book if you want to know what goes on behind every aspect of law enforcement/DA's charging until the end of trial, especially if its you or your family members found to be on the wrong side of the badge.

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Sabtu, 16 Maret 2013

[S157.Ebook] Ebook Free He Touched Me: An Autobiography, by Benny Hinn

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He Touched Me: An Autobiography, by Benny Hinn

This is the remarkable story of Benny Hinn?a man known to millions as one of the great healing evangelists of our time.

Many who have attended his crusades, watched his daily television ministry, or have seen him on programs such as Larry King Live have asked, "Who is this man? And how did he rise to such a place of prominence?"

You'll travel to Jaffa, Israel, and learn of the events that shaped the life of Benedictus, the oldest son in a family of eight children of Greek and Armenian heritage. And you will read of the deep conflicts in the Hinn household when, after the family immigrated to Canada, Benny had a dramatic, life-changing spiritual experience.

The journey from a small church in Oshawa, Ontario, to the largest stadiums and arenas in the world is filled with love, laughter, and tears. It is also a story of miracles.

He Touched Me, the autobiography of Benny Hinn, will inspire you. It reveals what can heppen when one person becomes totally yielded to the holy Spirit.

  • Sales Rank: #826193 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2001-04-08
  • Released on: 2001-04-08
  • Format: Kindle eBook

About the Author
Benny Hinn is the founder of the World Outreach Church in Orlando, Florida and the World Healing Center in Dallas, Texas. His daily television program, This is Your Day!, airs internationally, and millions attend his massive crusades each year held in every nation on earth. He has written several bestselling books, including Good Morning, Holy Spirit (over 1 million copies sold).

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
A "Must Read!"
By Helper
If you want to know how the Holy Spirit can touch and use people, this book tells you! Even if you aren't knowledgeable enough about the Holy Spirit, He can reach you. God has infinite power!

10 of 14 people found the following review helpful.
An inspiring and absolutely true story
By Kristen Wolford
I just finished reading this book cover to cover in a day. It was definitely too good to put down. Benny Hinn did a wonderful job telling his life story, including the trials and the happy times. I think the book was an inspiration to all, that not only does God really perform miracles, He loves His children deeply, and is always faithful. I so enjoyed reading about Pastor Benny's visions and encounters with the Lord. I noticed that throughout the book, Pastor Benny would take the time to give God all the glory for His miracles. What a humble man of God Benny Hinn is. Perhaps that is one of the reasons God can use him so much. I think this book reads very well, and if you haven't read it, what are you waiting for?

7 of 14 people found the following review helpful.
HERE WE GO AGAIN.....IN THE LAST DAYS....
By hermie boy
The bible warns us of exactly this....many will come in my name and be false prophets....and many will come to me saying "lord, lord, we performed many miricles in your name, and i will say..depart, i never knew you"...i can sun benny hinns so called ministry in one sentence.
Follow Jesus or follow Benny Hinn, but you CANT do BOTH !!!!
In a wicked generation looking for signs, Benny is full of them..just not from God,...well o.k. the god of this world.
Benny Hinn followers , the bible tell us "seek me with all your heart and you will find ME"...IT DIDNT SAY, YOU WILL FIND BENNY HINN !!....repent now, draw near to God and run from Benny !!

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