Selasa, 23 April 2013

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  • Published on: 2013-04-01
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Sabtu, 20 April 2013

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For fans of Fifty Shades of Grey, enjoy this fast paced erotic romance story of intrigue, suspense and sinful pleasures.

Dangerously in love.…
Ordinary girl-next-door Hannah Steeles is under surveillance and in danger. Was it something to do with a dark secret in her past? Is her forbidden love for gorgeous Blake putting her in more danger?

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Blake Romano, sexy, young self-made billionaire is used to getting what he wants. He has never wanted any woman more than he wants beautiful, innocent Hannah Steeles. His desire to keep her closer to him is only intensified as he sets out to nab the creep who is stalking her.

  • Sales Rank: #1182874 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2013-05-19
  • Released on: 2013-05-19
  • Format: Kindle eBook

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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Claimed again...and I need more!!
By Kirstie's Passionate About Reading
Blake is slowly uncovering the threat against Hannah. Though poor naive Hannah has no clue as to who would want to hurt her.

Hannah is also struggling with her growing desires for Blake, while Blake is becoming distant.

With one part of the puzzle solved, a small re-ignition of the passionate flame between Hannah and Blake...the plot thickens when someone from Hannah's past bursts back into her life...but they are not who she thought they were and why they are there is where the book leaves the reader on a cliff hanger...Part 6 cannot come quick enough!!

Nice quick read with a touch of action, mystery, romance and a bit of kinky sex...Thank you Ms King!!! :)

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
I've tried
By Rebecca J. Cartee
I bought the whole series... I've tried to like it. I want to like it. It has just gotten progressively worse with each "episode" in the series and I think I have one more to go. I hate leaving bad reviews. This is just bad. I get that in a shorter story some things have to be "fast tracked" for the sake of the story, but this is so unrealistic. And a marriage license is only valid for one year if the names on them are real... and Gustav's isn't. Even more ridiculous is the fact that she is trying to justify her actions after just telling Blake how much she loves him, etc., by saying that "technically Gustav is still her groom" because they "did not call off the wedding" ??? Are you serious? One, he isn't a groom. Two, what was the whole scene of Hannah standing in front of the church saying that the wedding wasn't going to happen from Volume 1 if not calling off the wedding? It's back and forth, hot and cold. Frankly, I wouldn't care if she slept with Gustav because Blake as a main lead is anything but. He's a prissy, blow hard who is nice one minute, sweet one minute and a complete jerk the next. I find nothing likable about him. And we notice, I haven't even touched on the grammar and spelling errors. If the story had been decent, I could over look those but by this point, it's like why even bother to notice. I will finish the series and start the one I really wanted to read... 31 Ways..

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Kamis, 18 April 2013

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  • Sales Rank: #4822032 in Books
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A fascinating exploration of how computer algorithms can be applied to our everyday lives, helping to solve common decision-making problems and illuminate the workings of the human mind.

All our lives are constrained by limited space and time, limits that give rise to a particular set of problems. What should we do, or leave undone, in a day or a lifetime? How much messiness should we accept? What balance of new activities and familiar favorites is the most fulfilling? These may seem like uniquely human quandaries, but they are not: computers, too, face the same constraints, so computer scientists have been grappling with their version of such problems for decades. And the solutions they've found have much to teach us.

In a dazzlingly interdisciplinary work, acclaimed author Brian Christian and cognitive scientist Tom Griffiths show how the simple, precise algorithms used by computers can also untangle very human questions. They explain how to have better hunches and when to leave things to chance, how to deal with overwhelming choices and how best to connect with others. From finding a spouse to finding a parking spot, from organizing one's inbox to understanding the workings of human memory, Algorithms to Live By transforms the wisdom of computer science into strategies for human living.

  • Sales Rank: #37 in Audible
  • Published on: 2016-04-19
  • Released on: 2016-04-19
  • Format: Unabridged
  • Original language: English
  • Running time: 710 minutes

Most helpful customer reviews

227 of 238 people found the following review helpful.
Great book, disagreed with a few points, overall awesome
By Shiri Dori-Hacohen
[The original title of this review was: "Great book, though a few inaccuracies & bold claims". See below for two updates on the review and why I changed the title.]

I'm a little over halfway with this recently published book, which I'm really enjoying so far - and I expect to enjoy it all the way to the end. A lot of great and unexpected insights here, and it seems that the authors did a good job explaining extremely complex algorithms and showing their applicability to real life (though it's hard for me to tell how good their explanations are to a novice, since I'm an expert in the field - I have two masters in Computer Science and working on my PhD, and was familiar with 90% of the algorithms described before opening the book).

My biggest quibble with this book (and the reason they lost a star) is that I noticed a few annoying/sloppy inaccuracies, which makes [made! - see below for updates] me ever so slightly doubt the accuracy and veracity of other areas of the book that I'm less familiar with. The other issue is the boldness of their (otherwise very interesting) conjectures.

For example, the authors misunderstand and misquote the 2-minute rule from David Allen's Getting Things Done, claiming the rule tells you to perform any less than 2-min task immediately when it occurs to you - and essentially simplifying the entire GTD system into the 2-min rule, which is in fact a tiny part of GTD (pg. 105-106). In fact, however, Allen does not suggest that at all - that would distract you from whatever you're currently engaged with, i.e. require a context switch (the costs of which the authors discuss at length). Instead, you should write that task down and add it to your intray, just like any other task. The 2-minute rule is applied later, while clearing your intray (which can be anytime in the next 48 hours). The point of the 2-minute rule is that the time spent on adding this task into your otherwise-extremely-flexible GTD system, and then tracking it in said system, would take longer than two minutes. This type of tracking is akin to what the authors refer to as "meta-work", and thus performing the 2-min task at inbox clearing time saves you an equal or greater amount of meta-work later. This is completely in line with the type of scheduling suggestions that the authors discuss. I'm not familiar with the other popular advice books the authors quote in the scheduling chapter or in the others chapters (e.g. the empty-your-closet type books they discuss in chapter 4), so I don't know if there are other such mischaracterizations, but it makes me suspect there might be. And I get that they're trying to differentiate their own advice from "all the other pop books out there", but if they're going to explicitly cite other books, they should try not to misrepresent them.

Also, when discussing the Gittins rule and the multi-armed bandit problem, they say that a machine with a 0-0 record has "a Gittins index of 0.7029. In other words, something you have no experience with whatsoever is more attractive than a machine that you know pays out seven times out of ten!" (pg. 40). However, their own table on the same page clearly shows that a machine with a 7-3 record has a Gittins index of 0.7187, making such a machine ever so slightly superior to a 0-0 one. After some more reading I realized that what they meant was that a machine with a 0-0 record and *uncertainty* is better than a *certain payout* of 70% (i.e. guaranteed to payout 7 out of 10), but that was not what the text implied.

To be clear, these inaccuracies in and of themselves aren't huge - but they planted a seed of doubt in my mind [which is not as big anymore - see below] as to whether there were other such misrepresentations or inaccuracies in the book that I simply hadn't caught, and detracted from my enjoyment of the book.

The other concern I have with this book is that several chapters end with provocative suggestions that aren't actually empirically-backed. These conjectures are cool, but I'd have liked to see scientists be more careful about making such bold claims, or at least couching them in the need for more research to establish whether they were entirely true. One example here was the discussion about the decline of aging supposedly being a result of simply having a larger history to remember (pgs 103-104). This is a fascinating conjecture, and one that deserves to be studied properly, but they are basing it on some research work that was not age-related. I suspect the authors may be on to something, at least in the context of "normal aging" cognitive decline as opposed to, say, alzheimer-related decline. However, as stated in the text, the conjectures are stated a bit too strongly for my tastes ("But as you age, and begin to experience these sporadic latencies, take heart: the length of the delay is partly an indicator of the extent of your experience.", pg 104). I'd hate to see anyone making decisions based on them - potentially missing an earlier diagnosis, say, of alzheimer's, because the authors claimed that cognitive decline is totally normal.

Quibbles and concerns notwithstanding, I'm definitely enjoying the book and I think it's a great addition to the new genre of what's being called by some "science-help". It's also a good read for people who are tired of the same-old, and thirsty for some advice that's off the beaten path.

UPDATE:
The rest of the book was as good as I expected.
Additionally, I sent this review to the lead author (Brian Christian) in case he wanted to address these issues. I was delighted to receive a very thoughtful response from him! They will be fixing the Gittens rule description in the paperback edition, to make it clearer to the reader. The author respectfully disagreed with me on the other two issues (GTD 2 minute rule & cognitive decline).
Given what I saw in the email, I'd say the intentions behind the book definitely merit 5 stars (even though I still disagree on their presentation of those two topics). However, I'll leave the original title & rating of 4 stars as it stands for the original hardcover edition, and for consistency's sake. As I originally said, the book stands as an excellent addition to the genre, and also likely as a great first exposure into Computer Science if you've never had any.

2nd update:
Apparently, this review is now listed as the top most helpful review on Amazon (cool!). The book has been so successful that the first author (Brian Christian) recently informed me that the book is now on its third printing, which means that the Gittins index issue mentioned above is now fixed in the current and future editions. As for the other issues I had, they are more subjective in nature, and not large enough in and of themselves to merit the original (harsher) title of the review. Again, for completeness' sake and to avoid rewriting history, I leave the original review as its stands and the original title is listed below the new title, with only a few comments in brackets leading readers to these updates in the bottom.

88 of 94 people found the following review helpful.
A superior guide to the science of living well
By Ed R
The most thoughtful and meaningful book I have read since Daniel Kahneman’s “Thinking Fast and Slow”. It extends that work by detailing the extensive computer science research that has been done which illuminates those techniques (i.e., algorithms) that support our brain’s natural capabilities in order to make the best possible life decisions. It shows when it pays to be precise and rigorous and when the best choices can be made by less stringent analyses. And where “winging it” or ‘using gut feelings’ may indeed produce the best results. The authors accomplish these valuable lessons through clear explanatory writing, pertinent examples drawn from both computer design and the real (human) world and a fine sense of humor.
In addition to wonderfully fulfilling its stated goal the book also provides the reader with a solid overview of the current state of computer design and architecture and some strong validations of the received wisdom that has come to us from philosophy and religion.

8 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
Awesome! I thoroughly enjoyed this book
By Amazon Customer
Awesome! I thoroughly enjoyed this book. As an engineer with some programming experience I am drawn to algorithms and mathematics, and not only did this book put various algorithms in historical context, but it demonstrated how they can be applied to life while adding a philosophical twist. The authors are skilled at explaining difficult subjects using easy to understand language that builds from simple to complex at just the right pace, all the while using real world examples. Not only did I enjoy the read, but I learned new things that often prompted tangent explorations to learn more. The book left me with a hunger to delve deeper into many of the subjects discussed, and made me challenge, and sometimes affirm, many of my own philosophical beliefs. Well done!

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Kamis, 11 April 2013

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  • Published on: 1978-01-01
  • Binding: Hardcover

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Rabu, 27 Maret 2013

[R261.Ebook] Fee Download Forecasting for the Pharmaceutical Industry: Models for New Product and In-Market Forecasting and How to Use Them, by Arthur G. Cook

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Forecasting for the Pharmaceutical Industry: Models for New Product and In-Market Forecasting and How to Use Them, by Arthur G. Cook

Forecasting for the Pharmaceutical Industry is a definitive guide for forecasters as well as the multitude of decision makers and executives who rely on forecasts in their decision making. In virtually every decision, a pharmaceutical executive considers some type of forecast. This process of predicting the future is crucial to many aspects of the company - from next month's production schedule, to market estimates for drugs in the next decade. The pharmaceutical forecaster needs to strike a delicate balance between over-engineering the forecast - including rafts of data and complex ’black box’ equations that few stakeholders understand and even fewer buy into - and an overly simplistic approach that relies too heavily on anecdotal information and opinion. Arthur G. Cook's highly pragmatic guide explains the basis of a successful balanced forecast for products in development as well as currently marketed products. The author explores the pharmaceutical forecasting process; the varied tools and methods for new product and in-market forecasting; how they can be used to communicate market dynamics to the various stakeholders; and the strengths and weaknesses of different forecast approaches. The text is liberally illustrated with tables, diagrams and examples. The final extended case study provides the reader with an opportunity to test out their knowledge. The second edition has been updated throughout and includes a brand new chapter focusing on specialized topics such as forecasting for orphan drugs and biosimilars.

  • Sales Rank: #991293 in Books
  • Published on: 2015-05-08
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 10.00" h x 7.00" w x 1.00" l, 1.45 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 234 pages

About the Author
Arthur G. Cook is a Principal with ZS, a management consulting firm specializing in the pharmaceutical industry. Previously he was Director of Global Forecasting for Syntex Pharmaceuticals. Art has been involved in pharmaceutical forecasting for over 30 years, has worked with many major pharmaceutical companies on their forecasting processes, and has created forecasts for over 150 therapy areas. He has written and presented widely on the subject of forecasting, portfolio management, market research, and pricing for the pharmaceutical industry.

Most helpful customer reviews

2 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
Great reference
By Carlos Campos
If you don't know anything about forecasting this book is a great starting point!

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
Nicely covers the broad areas of forecasting
By Dad with kids
Nicely covers the broad areas of forecasting, and thats just what it does. It does not get in to the details. So if you are someone who wants to brush your knowledge then this is for you, but if you are looking to learn new methods then maybe you may want to look at some other options.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Excellent introduction and review of pharma forecasting
By J. Bossart
This is a slim book with lots of good information for anybody wanting to get started forecasting their pharmaceutical and biotechnology products, as well as emerging companies with little portfolio management infrastructure looking to strengthen their forecasting process. There is much to be learned and few wasted words. Unlike many books that are used in a classroom setting and are intended primarily as a reference text this book presents forecasting in a practical and concise manner that makes you want to get started. This is a book that can be read cover to cover in three or four hours, so you get the whole picture in one or two bites.

Highly recommended as an introductory or refresher text for anybody involved in pharmaceutical or biotechnology product forecasting, and those involved in product development who wants to get a better handle on what their product is capable of achieving in the commercial setting.

The book is not inexpensive, but it offers a good payback in terms of price and time invested. If you order from Amazon you have the comfort of knowing that if the book doesn't meet your expectations you can easily return it for a refund less a small shipping charge. Unlike many other generic forecasting books this one addresses the unique characteristics of the pharmaceutical market and stays away from a heavy statistics treatment. Biopharma new product forecasting benefits more from a strong analytical approach than any mathematical treatment.

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[E304.Ebook] Download PDF The Incorrigible Children of Ashton Place: Book IV: The Interrupted Tale, by Maryrose Wood

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The Incorrigible Children of Ashton Place: Book IV: The Interrupted Tale, by Maryrose Wood

For fans of Lemony Snicket’s Series of Unfortunate Events and Trenton Lee Stewart’s Mysterious Benedict Society comes the fourth book in the Incorrigible Children of Ashton Place, the acclaimed and hilarious Victorian mystery series by Maryrose Wood.

In The Interrupted Tale, Miss Penelope Lumley receives an invitation to speak at the annual Celebrate Alumnae Knowledge Exposition (or CAKE) at the Swanburne Academy for Poor Bright Females. Optoomuchstic as ever, Penelope hopes to give her CAKE talk, see some old friends, and show off the Incorrigible children to Miss Mortimer, but instead she finds her beloved school in an uproar.

And when Penelope is asked by the Swanburne Academy board of trustees to demonstrate the academic progress of her three wolfish students so the board can judge the true worth of a Swanburne education, the future of her alma mater—and of her job as governess to the Incorrigibles—hangs in the balance.

  • Sales Rank: #564424 in Books
  • Published on: 2013-12-17
  • Released on: 2013-12-17
  • Format: Deckle Edge
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 7.75" h x 1.25" w x 5.50" l, .95 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 400 pages

From School Library Journal
Gr 4–6—In Wood's continuing comic-gothic series, nanny Penelope Lumley is called back to the Swanburne Academy for Poor Bright Females to deliver a speech at the Celebrate Alumnae Knowledge Exposition, and she takes her three wolfish charges along. They find things much changed from Penelope's pleasant descriptions of the institution that was so instrumental in forming her character and philosophy. The Board of Directors has experienced something along the lines of a hostile takeover. Any enjoyment of life on the part of the poor, bright females is being squelched. It doesn't take long for Penelope to suspect that Judge Quinzy, who now heads the Board, is actually the supposedly deceased father of Lord Ashton and that he is after a book that may hold clues about the mysterious curse of the Ashtons. Readers learn that the three incorrigible children are not the only wolfish humans in the series and also a fair amount about poetic feet-especially iambic pentameter. It is all great fun and delightfully complicated-an essential purchase for libraries owning the previous three titles.—Miriam Lang Budin, Chappaqua Library, NY

From Booklist
*Starred Review* Happily, the mysteries deepen at Ashton Place in this fourth volume in the Incorrigible Children series. Let us recap: the incorrigibles are three children raised by wolves but under the care of Lord Ashton, with Miss Penelope Lumley serving as their governess. Odd things happen at Ashton place, including Lord Fredrick’s propensity to howl at the moon. But here the action shifts to Penny’s alma mater, Swanburne Academy for Poor Bright Females, which is in distress. A new board of directors wishes to change everything, including calling it the School for Miserable Girls. Can Penny help halt this disastrous turn of events? In this book, we come to that part in a series where one cannot really join in the fun without having read the previous books. And there is much fun to be had as the incorrigibles—Alexander, Beowulf, and Cassiopeia—entangle themselves in the Swanburne world. Family mysteries become more mysterious, and chickens learn to dance. Once again delightful wordplay and a plot that snakes itself around a suspicious family tree add to the deliciousness. It looks as if one more book should answer questions, but there are quite a lot of them. Readers will wait eagerly to learn where the children came from, to whom they are related, and why Penny must continue to color her hair that deadly brown. Hmmm. To be illustrated. HIGH-DEMAND BACKSTORY: This series has amassed a large coterie of fans who will be eagerly looking to see how everything comes together. Grades 4-6. --Ilene Cooper

Review
“Happily, the mysteries deepen at Ashton Place in this fourth volume in the Incorrigible Children series. Once again delightful wordplay and a plot that snakes itself around a suspicious family tree add to the deliciousness.” (Booklist (starred review), about The Interrupted Tale (Book 4))

Most helpful customer reviews

15 of 16 people found the following review helpful.
And the story continues……..
By momofthree
My children and I have really enjoyed these books. The characters are intriguing and the story is good. However, it has been too drawn out. When I finished this one, I just wanted to say, "wrap it up already"! There are too many authors today who make their series way longer than necessary--and unfortunately this one has done so as well. I'm not saying don't read it, but just be prepared to be frustrated at the end!

7 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Still enjoyable...but COME ON
By melissa
I still love this series. And I do realize it's written for middle-grade readers. BUT . . . I have officially reached the point where I am glad the next installment isn't available yet, because the storyline is actually getting a bit redundant.

The clues, or perhaps red herrings, that have been exposed seem to be pointing to several obvious conclusions. Or at least semi-obvious conclusions. But these same clues have been blatantly exposed throughout the series, with little forward progress. Penelope's hair color has been hidden to keep her safe. Her hair color matches that of the Incorrigibles. Someone secretly took care of the Incorrigibles when they were living with the wolves. Old Timothy seems to be everywhere and know everything. Judge Quinzy, or whoever he is (no spoilers here) is up to something.

I'm beginning to feel that the secret or secrets, whatever they are, are not going to be too very astounding because it just TOOK TOO LONG TO GET THERE.

Anyway. This one was still funny, taking the readers away from Ashton Place again, this time to the Swanburne school, which seems to be in a bit of financial (and other) trouble. Penelope delivers a filibuster, chickens perform a dance routine, and Frederick Ashton learns that howling at the moon might not be so bad. Still an enjoyable read, but I, for one, am happy for a break.

1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
Good Series
By Laney B
I haven't begun reading this book yet, but as it is the 4th in a series, I know I can expect continued good prose and an unusual plot line. At first I didn't realize that the book series is a satire of 19th Century social and moral customs in the United Kingdom, but once I did, I enjoyed the book so much that I have continued with the series. The best name in the book is the "Swanburne School for Poor, Bright Females" --a phrase that derides the orphanage system of the times while snidely bringing out the point that some of the brightest and best in the world come from humble origins, not from the socially elite. Adult attitudes towards children in general are cleverly skewered, as well as class distinctions and the status of women. Then, there is a mystery to solve, which keeps us all guessing. This series is written for middle school children, but it holds the attention of adults very well.

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